Welcome to Day 1 of our Bear Market Signal series.
Each day, we'll be highlighting a different critical warning sign our analysts are tracking to pinpoint when the next bear market will arrive.
Some of these indicators are big, obvious problems — like outrageous levels of debt. Some are more technical.
We'll be following these indicators for you in the coming months, whether you personally keep tabs on them or not.
But if you understand them yourself, you'll have a big advantage over the vast majority of people in the markets.
We're starting today with a term you might have heard tossed around quite a bit lately on cable TV and in the news:
The yield curve.
As Stansberry Digest editor Justin Brill explains:
True Wealth editor Steve Sjuggerud and his team have been tracking this indicator, too.
Steve and his team are predicting a major "Melt Up" in stocks — a furious final leg of the bull market. They're among the most bullish analysts anywhere, as far as we know — in the short term.
But their Melt Up thesis comes with a major caveat. It's tied — by definition — to the idea that a major Melt Down is on the way.
And the yield curve is the key signal they're tracking.
Here's what they wrote back in December:
Stocks, of course, ended the year with their worst December since the Great Depression... and their first negative full-year return since 2008.
And the key yield curve indicator — the "10-2 spread" — continues to inch toward zero.
It's time to be cautious.
Our next Bear Market Signal is a $22 trillion problem that's getting worse every day (with help from the folks in Washington). And it's making another major bear market much more likely. Click the "Bear Market Signal #2" button below to learn more.
Jim Rogers is an American businessman, investor, traveler, financial commentator and author based in Singapore. Rogers is the Chairman of Rogers Holdings and Beeland Interests, Inc. He was the co-founder of the Quantum Fund and creator of the Rogers International Commodities Index.
Porter Stansberry founded Stansberry Research in 1999 with the firm's flagship publication, Stansberry's Investment Advisory. He is also the host of Stansberry Investor Hour, a weekly broadcast that has quickly become one of the most popular online financial radio shows. At Stansberry Research, Porter oversees more than twenty of the best editors and analysts in the business, who do an exhaustive amount of real-world, independent research.
Austin Root is editor and portfolio manager for the Stansberry Portfolio Solutions products and American Moonshots. He is also director of corporate development at Stansberry Research and a senior analyst for Stansberry's Investment Advisory.